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AGI: when is it really coming? (2026 analysis without hype)

Sam Altman says 'few years', Yann LeCun '20 years min', expert median 2047. We analyzed predictions, benchmarks, 4 major obstacles, 3 scenarios.

16 min readPublished May 7, 2026

In one sentence

AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is the obsession of 2026. Sam Altman says "few years", Yann LeCun says "20 years minimum", Yoshua Bengio says "5-10 years plausible". The truth? Nobody knows.

(EN content abbreviated — full FR is the primary content)

Tags

AGIAvenir IAPrédictionsIA & Société

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AGI 2026: when is it really coming? (complete analysis) · nAIvigate